Breaking Down: Avs/Preds, Game #16

The Avs really needed a strong offensive showing and boy did they get one. This was 3 games for the price of one in several ways. End result is another blowout win and watching Pekka Rinne waddle down the tunnel in the middle of a period never gets old. 9-4, BLAM.

Projectile Lineup

Add Philip Grubauer to the burgeoning injured list and Adam Werner to the first-time callup list as well. Jayson Megna was sent back to the Eagles on Wednesday and TJ Tynan called up in his place.

Calvert – Mack – Donskoi
Jost – Kadri – Compher
Nieto – PEB – Nichushkin
Tynan – Kamenev – Burakovsky

Sam – EJ
Graves – Makar
Big Z – Barbs


Scratch: Cole, Grubi (UBI, d2d)
Injured: Wilson, Landy, Mikko (all LBI)

Team Stats

This game breaks out into 3 main segments:
Puck drop to when Matt Duchene told the crowd to bring it at 4:55 of P2
The 6 goals in 8 minutes segment right after that
The rest

Instead of starting with a dumb penalty or a soft goal against the Avs went with scoring themselves on a beautiful shot by Cale Makar less than a minute in. The Preds were on their heels for the entire period but still managed to tie it somehow. After that the Avs went on a shooting spree then Nashville went on a penalty spree. The Avs PP has looked somewhat professional at times lately but needed a 5v3 to get their only PPG of the night. Killing off 2 of the 3 penalties gave the Preds some mojo early in the 2nd and they tied the game then went ahead on a Matt Duchene power play goal. Maybe it’s just a narrative but while he celebrated in the corner a match seemed to be lit under his former team.

The Avs have sent a few goalies to the showers early this season. Braden Holtby stopped zero of three shots for the Caps, Vasilevski and Fleury had massive troubles as well. Nothing like what Rinne and later Jussi Saros went through in P2 however. After the Duchene goal, the Avs scored on their next 4 shots in 2:21, including a shortie on the first chance Jussi Saros saw. Two more went sailing by in the next 5:39. Stunning. The fun thing was all the different ways they were going in: Point shots with eyes, transition, net front magic, ridiculous wristers. Other than Graves shot from about as far away from the net as you can be there wasn’t a lot of goofball stuff. These were all high-quality goals.

The rest of the match was garbage time with the teams trading goals in the 3rd and Donny cementing his hat trick on a late power play.

As far as the shot battle goes, the Avs were +24/-10 in segment 1, +11/-3 in segment 2 and +17/-30 in garbage time. For what it’s worth shots on goal in all situations were 45-24 Avs. Shot pace at 5v5 was a swift 126 per hour.

Power play was 2/6 and now sits 17th in the league at 18.8%. The PK has taken a turn for the worse lately and now sits 13th at 83.3% after a 3/4 night. They were in the top 5 a couple weeks ago.


Top 6 forwards were Donskoi, Jost, Burky, Calvert, Kadri and Bellemare at 5v5. In all situations it was Donskoi (19:07), Kadri, Burky, Calvert, Jost and Compher (15:04). Mack was low man at 8:36 after sitting out the final 22 minutes and Tynan 12th overall at 10:41.

The defensive regime went Sam, EJ, Graves, Barbs, Makar and Z. Overall it was EJ (25), Sam (24+), Graves (20), Makar (20), Barbs (16:31) and Big Z (7). Z left with what we now know is a broken jaw at 15:27 of the 2nd period.


– Mack had another amazing night despite taking the 3rd period off for precautionary reasons. He had 7 SOG in the 1st period and 10 overall, 15 attempts in total. He was everywhere, a goal and 3 assists. The Avs can’t afford to lose him so I think the staff were just being super careful in a blowout. I’m sure he’s dealing with some sort of UBI but I doubt it’s going to put him in the press box.

– Joonas Donskoi had his 6th, 7th & 8th goals of the season, Andre Burakovski had a goal and 2 assists. Which one was the shooter again?

– Cale Makar also had a goal and 2 assists for 2G/13A on the season and now sits right behind the likes of Ryan Ellis, Brent Burns and Morgan Reilly in scoring. He also leads rookies by 4 points. Still learning the trade too, wow.

– Vlad Kamenev had a nice assist on Burky’s ridiculous goal for 2 in 5 games so far. I like the progression I’ve seen and the game seems to be slowing down for him gradually. He and Burakovsky have some chemistry too.

– Ryan Graves was the 3rd member of the 1G/2A crew on the evening and maybe the 3rd time’s the charm for Makar’s partners. Z was a little chaotic, Cole was too troglodytic, Graves might be the guy that can hang with Cale and be the happy medium. If he’s able to produce thanks to playing with skill then even better.

Burgundy Narrative Metric

– “Best guys being your best guys” gets a (+) BLAM
Quality vs Quantity gets a (+) 74 CF and 3.42 xGF
– Power Play Watchability gets a (+) it was ok
The Dreaded Turtle gets a (+) well of course they turtled scoring 7 in the first 30 minutes
Starting Goalie Battle% gets a (-) Frank’s still learning the NHL. I’m thinking they’ll have to outscore their issues for a while.
Referee Oppression Index gets a (+) Not a factor overall but when a guy goes down like Z did you’d like to see play stopped.

Total: +5¾

Next up

Tonight vs Columbus

Thanks as always to the NHL and Natural Stat Trick for numbers and visuals


Scoring LW, punchy climber for the Ardennes classics, spirit guide

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