Breaking Down: Avs/Leafs, Game 46

The Avs win streak reached 10 games last night, this time with a new twist. They were actually losing at one point – for a grand total of 94 seconds. Like the first meeting this was an entertaining game, it’s too bad we only see the Leafs twice a year.

Team Stats

Gabe Bourque scored right off the bat in the 1st and from there the Leafs went on a 9-1 shot run. The Avs countered with an 8-1 run of their own and play was back and forth from there until the Leafs’ disallowed goal and finally when they took the lead. Colorado hadn’t trailed in a game since 2017 and they roared forth with a 12-2 run, tying the game along the way. The last 25 minutes were controlled by Toronto on the shot board, but the Avs scored twice in that stretch to put it away. I think that part of the game was a bit deceptive as both teams created good offensive zone time but the Avs were a little more choosy with their shooting.

As has been the case often lately, the Avs looked a lot better with score adjustments. Instead of a straight up +43/-52 they ended around 48% SVA.

The PK was a perfect 3/3 and for some reason the Avs were not allowed to have a power play.


The defensive regime went EJ, Z, Barbs, Nemeth, Girard, Lindholm at 5v5 and with noticeable gaps between everyone save EJ & Z. With little special teams time it was the same overall.

Top 6 forwards were Mack, Landy, Mikko then a gap down to Comeau, Nieto and Carl at 5v5 and overall. Once again we are seeing a clear delineation of a top 6/bottom 6 now. Toninato was low man at 8 minutes but he along with Kerf & Yak took advantage of the time they had by dominating the Leafs 4th line.


– No point for Mack, his streak is done, but Mikko and Gabe combined for an ENG at the end. Avs won this one with skilled depth and it’s a pretty good sign when you have 4 goals from 4 lines and no one on the team has a multi-point night.

– The Kerfoot line was fantastic. They controlled play against the Leafs 4th but early in the game they even held steady vs the Matthews line for a few shifts. Kerfoot’s passing was excellent and ended up creating a goal from Nail Yakupov that tied the game right after the Leafs took the lead. That was huge. Having a bottom 6 that can beat teams gives the staff options and takes pressure off of the MacKinnon line to have to win the game every night.

– After his tenure in Toronto I’m sure Jon Bernier wanted this one bad. It wasn’t his best game of the streak, only a .935 night, but it might have been one of the sweetest. He’s now 3-0 against his former teams this season.

– I’m glad the Leafs non-goal was negated for homer reasons but it does bring up the point of what the hell is goalie interference anymore. I’d be pissed if I was a Toronto fan because that sure looked good to me. I can get behind the reasoning somewhat because if you keep pushing the line of goalie interference back then teams will use that as strategy and I don’t want to see running the goalie as a common occurrence. The problem here is that no one, including players & coaches, has a good idea what is acceptable and that’s on the NHL to clarify.

Burgundy Narrative Metric

– “Best guys being your best guys” gets an (even) for depth overcoming all
– Corsi gets a (-) but not by much
– Power Play gets a (n/a) 1 PP in the last 2 games? What’s up with that?
– Turtle gets a (+) 2 goals in the last 10 minutes, booyah
– Varly% gets a (n/a) but Bernie% keeps on rolling
Referee Oppression Index gets a (+) The Leafs non-goal was silly

Total: 5½

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The Avs are in Montreal to play the Habs tonight.





Scoring LW, punchy climber for the Ardennes classics, spirit guide

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